Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.000028 0.000030 0.000033 0.000035 0.000039 0.000042 0.000046
2026-01-18 0.000025 0.000028 0.000032 0.000036 0.000041 0.000047 0.000054
2026-01-25 0.000026 0.000031 0.000036 0.000043 0.000051 0.000060 0.000072
2026-02-01 0.000023 0.000028 0.000034 0.000041 0.000050 0.000061 0.000075
2026-02-08 0.000021 0.000026 0.000032 0.000039 0.000049 0.000061 0.000078
2026-02-15 0.000020 0.000025 0.000031 0.000039 0.000049 0.000063 0.000082
2026-02-22 0.000018 0.000023 0.000029 0.000037 0.000049 0.000063 0.000085
2026-03-01 0.000017 0.000021 0.000027 0.000036 0.000047 0.000063 0.000085
2026-03-08 0.000015 0.000020 0.000026 0.000034 0.000046 0.000062 0.000086
2026-03-15 0.000014 0.000019 0.000025 0.000033 0.000045 0.000062 0.000088
2026-03-22 0.000013 0.000018 0.000023 0.000032 0.000044 0.000061 0.000088
2026-03-29 0.000012 0.000017 0.000023 0.000031 0.000044 0.000062 0.000091
2026-04-05 0.000012 0.000016 0.000022 0.000031 0.000044 0.000064 0.000096
2026-04-12 0.000011 0.000016 0.000022 0.000031 0.000046 0.000068 0.000105
2026-04-19 0.000013 0.000018 0.000025 0.000037 0.000056 0.000085 0.000137
2026-04-26 0.000012 0.000017 0.000024 0.000035 0.000054 0.000084 0.000138
2026-05-03 0.000011 0.000016 0.000023 0.000034 0.000053 0.000083 0.000139
2026-05-10 0.000010 0.000015 0.000022 0.000033 0.000053 0.000085 0.000145
2026-05-17 0.000010 0.000014 0.000021 0.000032 0.000052 0.000085 0.000147
2026-05-24 0.000009 0.000013 0.000020 0.000031 0.000050 0.000083 0.000146
2026-05-31 0.000008 0.000012 0.000019 0.000030 0.000048 0.000081 0.000145
2026-06-07 0.000008 0.000012 0.000018 0.000029 0.000048 0.000081 0.000148
2026-06-14 0.000007 0.000011 0.000017 0.000028 0.000046 0.000080 0.000148